Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 114.866092 126.790245 139.002995 152.419926 166.718904 181.476102 197.830933
2025-05-11 96.021054 113.899016 133.099129 155.134853 179.607696 205.839504 235.966506
2025-05-18 76.388620 97.383051 121.002973 149.252806 181.827983 217.930728 260.681013
2025-05-25 62.887941 85.879368 112.894165 146.428569 186.387083 231.946892 287.278248
2025-06-01 53.481803 77.917085 107.801842 146.151381 193.167594 248.078443 316.181654
2025-06-08 46.713042 72.307052 104.782498 147.709700 201.658967 265.971186 347.149808
2025-06-15 42.806373 69.870874 105.317626 153.351511 214.960175 289.627394 385.204541
2025-06-22 38.296728 66.042190 103.573219 155.705046 223.911965 307.900313 416.846211
2025-06-29 33.790295 61.670458 100.639115 156.109979 230.100997 322.608802 444.122921
2025-07-06 30.282185 58.341196 98.783795 157.660559 237.573279 338.844833 473.347557
2025-07-13 28.293343 57.087978 99.677592 162.838571 249.785648 361.173135 510.414948
2025-07-20 25.971484 55.035981 99.202100 165.957000 259.174045 379.897457 543.063125
2025-07-27 24.160701 53.697572 99.758234 170.631033 270.918769 402.100206 580.812976
2025-08-03 22.103823 51.722994 99.202344 173.634324 280.407847 421.501491 615.269650
2025-08-10 18.236941 46.072010 92.520644 167.298953 276.643840 423.185726 626.668665
2025-08-17 15.534154 42.162057 88.260418 164.255313 277.258635 430.558882 645.445459
2025-08-24 13.656935 39.572633 85.935331 163.963237 281.672660 443.016641 670.983325
2025-08-31 12.315908 37.876151 84.963000 165.656378 288.908801 459.349600 701.799038
2025-09-07 11.781872 37.818262 86.787281 171.769643 302.688530 484.827324 745.107413
2025-09-14 10.771917 36.573521 86.418629 174.318525 311.199347 503.076329 778.841551
2025-09-21 9.578388 34.724190 84.816131 174.757370 316.504736 516.864811 806.628386
2025-09-28 8.659540 33.376821 84.019506 176.435612 323.642685 533.253662 838.063092
2025-10-05 8.273719 33.296532 85.574376 182.036343 336.798918 558.258907 881.482984